It’s that time of the year when everything is looking ahead to summer. Every year we publish our preliminary UK Summer 2025 weather forecast for the start of May.
We then issue our full in-depth thoughts in the 3rd week of May, giving a breakdown of expectation for each summer month. Below you can find our preliminary thoughts below.
UK Summer 2025 Weather Forecast – Initial thoughts.
ENSO look set to remain neutral so neither La Niña nor El Niño likely. No real influence likely from this region/phenomenon.
Current SST’s are cool across the Africa to Caribbean region, so this will mean a slow start to the hurricane season no doubt.
Nevertheless this may change by then, but for now colder waters here may promote the Azores high to shift a tad further north than normal into the North Atlantic.
This falls in line with historical predictions. Speaking of historical predictions, our data also shows the high further north, than the normal Azores region. The data we have created, using years with very early final stratospheric warming’s mixed with neutral enso.
So I guess all in all, with the high located there, it won’t be a classic summer, but far from awful either and I suspect strong regional variations will be more likely this year. From what we can see, July will perhaps be the worst month in terms of rain and Europe, especially eastern and southern parts, looks very wet.
Stuart’s initial UK Summer 2025 Weather Forecast thoughts: Average summer expected.
Will this summer be hot?
Lewis’ initial UK Summer 2025 Weather Forecast thoughts: Above average summer expected with frequent ‘hotter’ spells and an up tick in thunderstorms compared to previous summers.
Our final in-depth UK summer forecast, with a breakdown for each month, will be available to all of our Pro members in a few weeks time. Non Pro members will have access to the extensive UK summer forecast from mid-June. If you wish to become a Pro member and access this content earlier, along with many other benefits. Information is below or you can click here.